GDP
Is a Soft Landing Possible?
Instead of a soft landing, a "hard landing" scenario will come to fruition at some point. When? While the timing is uncertain, the collapse may be delayed until somewhere next year.
Dollarcontext
CANDLESTICK
The Psychology Behind a High-Wave Candle
A high-wave candle reflects equilibrium, indecision, and volatility: a tug of war between buyers and sellers signaling a reversal or transition.
SP500
Is the S&P 500 Poised for a Melt-up?
While we expect a recession, probably at some point next year, we believe that the market will continue to rise for the next few months.
CANDLESTICK
How to Recognize a High-Wave Candle
High-wave candles are reversal patterns that appear at the end of a strong trend. They have long upper and lower shadows, and their real bodies are frequently small.
SP500
S&P 500 Performance After Yield Curve Inversions
The SP500 typically experiences a decline within a range of 6 to 18 months after reaching the low point of the yield curve. The magnitude of these declines range approximately from 20% to 60%.
SP500
Timing Strategies for Shorting the S&P 500 During Recessions
Typically, the SP500 tends to initiate a downtrend concurrently or slightly ahead of the onset of an economic downturn.
NATGAS
Is Natural Gas Forming a Floor?
After the dramatic decline since August 2022, the market might be entering a transition phase in which the trend goes from down to a period of relative stability.
GOLD
The Dangerous Plan of Trading Gold This Summer
It’s probably too early to initiate a long position here. The downward trend from the previous highs may still be in progress.
LEADINGINDICATORS
Leading Indicators Tracker
Follow the main leading indicators of recession with our dashboard.