The Psychology Behind a Shooting Star

A shooting star symbolizes a psychological battle between bulls and bears and the inability of the buyers to sustain the high prices.

The Psychology Behind a Shooting Star

Today, we're set to unravel an essential feature of candlestick charts, the psychological implications behind a shooting star pattern. This single-candle formation gains its importance when it surfaces after a rising trend or a situation where the market is overbought.

The shooting star pattern consists of a small real body near the lower end of the trading range with a long upper shadow and little or no lower shadow. This indicates that during the trading period, buyers were initially able to push prices up, often to new highs, reflecting a continuation of bullish sentiment. However, by the close of trading, sellers have managed to drive prices down to near the opening level, thereby showing a shift in market sentiment.

The Emotional Transition Indicated by a Shooting Star Pattern
The Emotional Transition Indicated by a Shooting Star Pattern

A shooting star, therefore, symbolizes a psychological battle between bulls (buyers) and bears (sellers). The inability of the buyers to sustain the high prices and the subsequent takeover by the sellers is a hint that the bullish momentum is waning, and the bears are gaining strength. This can signal traders that a reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend may be on the horizon, hence the need to possibly adjust trading strategies.

The real body of a shooting star can be either white/green or black/red.

Sentiment Shift of a Shooting Star
Sentiment Shift of a Shooting Star

The shape of a shooting star, however, is equally important as the context in which it emerges. This candle line is a reversal indicator, and as such it should arise after an advancing market.

Given that this pattern indicates a transition in market sentiment, the peak reached by a shooting star acts as resistance.

The example below illustrates a shooting star leading to a downward turn in the cotton market.

Cotton Futures: Shooting Star in May 2022 (Weekly Chart)
Cotton Futures: Shooting Star in May 2022 (Weekly Chart)